I thought the Phillips Curve was Dead? I guess it is Only Broken
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Oil vs. Dirt
I understand that oil sands operators are now ditching the oil and selling the dirt.
Chinese GDP Growth and Gross Expansion
Chinese gross GDP expansion is as much at 6.8% (2015) with its larger economy than it was at 12.7% with its smaller economy (back in 2006) and at 9.6% (in 2008). Our obsession with growth rates obscures the fact that the Chinese economy is still expanding by quite a much.
India vs. China
Will India grow with out increasing manufacturing? Does this mean India will move right to a service and import economy?
Oil Prices, Euro and Inventories
This scatter-plot created by Confluence Investment Management shows where oil prices have traded with different inventory levels and Euro prices. One the big head winds for oil prices has been the US dollar. There has a been a slight bid in the Euro and I think it could be the contrarian trade of the year. Will this give oil a bounce?
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